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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Texas Arlington

Conference:WAC
Expected RPI:119.0
Current RPI:119
Expected SOS:141
Current Record:19-13
Expected Record:19-13
Current Conf Record:13-8
Expected Conf Record:13-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:14-1
Current OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC RPI:152
Expected OOC SOS:200


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
19-1359.38%119.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Texas Arlington.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9Cal St. Bakersfield (235.0)indA60-62W100%0.0
11-16Oklahoma (39.0)B12H59-63L0%0.0
11-24Samford (291.0)SCA58-65W100%0.0
11-28North Texas (247.0)SBA59-72W100%0.0
12-1Texas (116.0)B12A70-54L0%0.0
12-3Texas Pan American (306.0)GWCA51-60W100%0.0
12-13Houston Baptist (310.0)GWCH81-47W100%0.0
12-19Oklahoma St. (27.0)B12A69-44L0%0.0
12-29New Mexico St. (55.0)WACH68-47W100%0.0
12-31Denver (64.0)WACH35-50L0%0.0
1-2Boise St. (45.0)MWCH46-64L0%0.0
1-5Louisiana Tech (53.0)WACH52-55L0%0.0
1-10Texas San Antonio (260.0)WACA67-75W100%0.0
1-12Texas St. (272.0)WACA74-91W100%0.0
1-17Seattle (303.0)WACH44-61L0%0.0
1-19Idaho (195.0)WACH64-77L0%0.0
1-24Utah St. (108.0)WACA68-74W100%0.0
1-26San Jose St. (261.0)WACA47-66W100%0.0
2-2Louisiana Tech (53.0)WACA64-51L0%0.0
2-7Texas St. (272.0)WACH75-50W100%0.0
2-9Texas San Antonio (260.0)WACH68-63W100%0.0
2-14Idaho (195.0)WACA68-71W100%0.0
2-16Seattle (303.0)WACA63-65W100%0.0
2-20Texas Pan American (306.0)GWCH63-48W100%0.0
2-23UC Irvine (125.0)BWH70-77L0%0.0
2-28San Jose St. (261.0)WACH81-74W100%0.0
3-2Utah St. (108.0)WACH61-46W100%0.0
3-7Denver (64.0)WACA84-55L0%0.0
3-9New Mexico St. (55.0)WACA69-66L0%0.0
3-14Utah St. (108.0)WACN83-78W100%0.0
3-15Texas San Antonio (260.0)WACN69-53W100%0.0
3-16New Mexico St. (55.0)WACN64-55L0%0.0